Baseball Prospectus 2014: The Essential Guide to the 2014 by Sam Miller, Jason Wojciechowski

By Sam Miller, Jason Wojciechowski

The bestselling annual baseball preview from the neatest analysts within the business

Now in its nineteenth variation, the Baseball Prospectus annual exhibits once more the way it grew to become the chief: The 2014 version comprises key stat different types, extra debatable participant predictions, and the type of clever, witty baseball remark that makes this phone-book-thick tome worthy interpreting conceal to cover.

Baseball Prospectus 2014 presents delusion gamers and insiders alike with prescient PECOTA projections, which activities Illustrated has known as ""perhaps the game's so much actual projection model."" nonetheless, stats are only numbers in case you don't see the bigger context, and Baseball Prospectus brings jointly an elite crew of analysts to supply the definitive examine all thirty teams—their gamers, their clients, and their managers—to clarify away flukes, scorching streaks, injury-tainted numbers, and park results. Victory, in spite of everything, may come right down to identifying among the meant sleeper and the overvalued customers who won't be capable of idiot humans within the exhibit like they've got down at the farm.

Nearly each major-league workforce has sought the recommendation of present or former Prospectus writers, and readers of Baseball Prospectus 2014 will comprehend what all these lovers were raving about.

""If you're a baseball fan and also you don't comprehend what BP is, you're operating in a mine with out a kind of helmets with the lighting fixtures on it.""—Keith Olbermann

""The first time I observed the PECOTA projections, i spotted that somebody in the market understood."" —Jeff Luhnow, common supervisor, Houston Astros

""For me, each year baseball starts off with the massive, wonderful, appealing booklet you're retaining on your palms correct now.""—Joe Posnanski

Baseball Prospectus 2013 properly predicted:

*Disappointing performances by means of Albert Pujols, Dan Haren, Michael Bourn, Justin Upton, and Tommy Hanson.

*Breakouts through Paul Goldschmidt, Freddie Freeman, Kyle Seager, Matt Moore, Shelby Miller, and Jason Kipnis, in addition to bounceback seasons from Jayson Werth and Shin-Soo Choo.

*That Max Scherzer will be a Cy younger contender and Michael Wacha ace-in-waiting for the Cardinals.

*That Wil Myers will be a middle-of-the-order bat for Tampa Bay and Josh Donaldson may ultimately win the wealthy Harden exchange for the A's.

*That CC Sabathia's pace drop can be a challenge, yet Felix Hernandez's wouldn't be.

*That Joaquin Benoit, Kenley Jansen, and Koji Uehara have been larger bullpen bets than pre-season nearer selections Bruce Rondon, Brandon League, and Joel Hanrahan.

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In addition, the shortage of hungry young job-seekers undercut club officials’ ability to threaten veterans with job loss to induce greater on-field productivity, deter union talk, or coerce higher moral conduct. Not surprisingly clubs scrambled to find legal and illegal ways to bypass the high minors and secure more talent at lower cost. Major league organizations paid college and semipro players under the table while not listing them on reserve lists. As late as  the Yankees’ Jacob Ruppert admitted to the practice but insisted of his rivals, ‘‘They all do it.

Illicit gifts. But the committee upped the ante by urging a three-year suspension to anyone found guilty of giving or accepting a bribe or ‘‘going easy’’ on an opponent. Any attempt to improperly influence an umpire, in turn, would result in permanent blacklisting of both the offerer and the taker of a bribe. Players also would draw permanent banishment for betting on games with a direct connection, and a one-year suspension would follow bets on other contests. 25 The codification of formal rules and punishments on baseball gamefixing, bribery, and betting represented the forced withdrawal of Landis from his initial celebrated role as baseball’s public policeman.

In  Landis ‘‘freed’’ a handful of players who had been demoted to minor league clubs with which the dispatching organizations held covert gentlemen’s agreements. Because of these pacts the demoting clubs had illegally avoided having to secure waivers on the players or counting them toward option limits. But in the  National Agreement Landis unaccountably failed to specifically bar outright major league ownership of minor league clubs as well as gentlemen’s agreements, and in so doing he left an enormous loophole.

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